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The Next Decade By George Friedman Book Report

I chose to read the book The Next Decade written by George Friedman. In the book he give the reader historical details and his predictions of the next 10 years and beyond. I like the historical facts and some of his predictions. However in my need for knowledge without conjecture this book left me feeling bored. The author had a lot of ideas while contradicting himself. In the book, Friedman shares his strong belief, especially about the United States, how the world will change so much in the next ten years.

I do not agree with all his predictions. The Next Decade is a book written by George Friedman, and is primarily about the United States’ relationships with other countries. Addresses some demographic, technological, and economic issues, primarily those that will affect the 2010s. When looking at the cover of the book it show you most of the topics he will address in the book. The main theme of the book is how the American administrations of the next ten years will need to create regional power balances, some of which have been disturbed.

Friedman conceptualizes America’s successful management of world affairs not by directly enforcing countries, but by creating competing relationships, which offset one another, in the world’s different regions. This bold, politics, lively and entertaining book makes highly specific predictions about the 21st century. He draws between what happened historically and what he believes will happen in the future. He uses a logical thought process. Friedman’s book involved in international business or long-term strategic planning.

He has referred to September 11, 2001 and many other terrorist acts. He has reviewed the pass acts and thought of the United States. I believe when he wrote this book it was to give us a glance at our interactions, the path we had walked, and to show us the future if we don’t change of issues he believes are dangerous. He stresses what the world will look like in his opinion. He tried to make it seem like a future prediction, however it is just his opinion with lacing on the past. We are now half through his prediction, however the world are not in shambles. II. Analysis/Evaluation

In The Next Decade by Friedman he gives us his idea created world by arguing that “so many individual decisions are made that no single one of them is ever critical. ” Then, “in the shorter time frame of a decade, individual decisions by individual people, particularly those with political power, can matter enormously. ” He is contradicting himself by using these two terms. He does this several times in the whole book. He states that the president is not important then states the president holds all the power. His title is deceiving by only think he will talk about the next ten years.

He spends most of his time talking about the past. It’s a very strong written piece however it does have weak point in the argument. He refers to the past in every chapter for every point he would to make. I understand he giving us back ground for him hypothesis of the future. He did this to influence his audience to accept his way of thinking. I believe to give us a glance into the future and help us to curve the way we act and think. He told us the facts from both sides while not truly being from either. The piece is very convincing until a point. He convey his hypothesis with great dictions.

You can tell he research these topics. He took great pride in learning about the difference culture. He was able to stay neutral for the most parts. He was very ethically sound and able to be sensitive to the others feeling and beliefs. He repeat that Washington should stay out of the Middle East. That every time Washington is doing something in Middle East for a self-severing position. He believes that the past presidents only want to overrule the Middle East in most action. That the present and past president keeps making decisions that leads to more wars in the Middle East.

For several chapters I am paraphrasing his words Washington should distance itself from Jerusalem in order to restore the balance between Israel and its neighbors, and then reach an entente with Tehran in order to counterbalance the Arabs. Pakistan must be strengthened against India so as to divert the latter from achieving a level of naval development that would threaten U. S. hegemony in the Indian Ocean. The European Union is falling apart, the United States will need to undermine growing ties between Germany and Russia with a strategic partnership with Poland.

With this the United States will still be able to be leading power and not in immediate fear of a great war again. In Asia we need to take action for the States to keep its stable. He gives numerous example of how to keep the United States a head to not cause a great war or to give another countries the upper hand. The author Friedman goes on to write a fact that the American people have trouble assimilating is that the size and power of the American Empire is inherently disruptive and intrusive, means that United States can rarely take a step without threatening some nation or benefiting another.

While such a power confers enormous economic advantages, it naturally engenders hostility. (p. 10) decisions made in the US affect daily the lives of many non-Americans across the world. That is not always a positive effect. Many wars and ruler have come from a decision US have made. I do under what he was saying about the president. The key to strategic success hinges on the sneakiness of the President of the United States. “The president must appear to be not very bright, yet be able to lie convincingly,” he writes.

The target of this charade will not be future allies but potential enemies. ” “He the president must be able to lie to the public but never lie to his self. ” I believe many president must be able to keep the America in the dark while he or she keeps all the detail to themselves. There many times this action has come to light but the public is only mad for a little bit and then it’s over and forgotten. America want to look to be democratic however we are many different things depending on the situation. I don’t agree with his ideas that president doesn’t know how to blame during bad times.

I believe yes there have been president that was a horrible liar in my time and he was not able to just tell the truth even though most of the Americans already knew. For example 2003 war place by president bush. We all knew there were not weapons of mass destruction in Africa known as Middle East. After September 11, 2001 most American were scared the others wanted a war. I do need to say that I agree with George Friedman not all people who live in Israel or Afghanistan or Pakistan are Taliban. In the whole book he never meant ISIS which in the current times are causing the most problems.

The two group do see us as enemy but they fight with each other in Middle East. I. My reaction to the information in the book. – What questions does the piece raise for you — about the material, about other things? In my evaluation of the book I believe that his outlook on the future is slightly off-putting. Not saying what he said is incorrect it’s just seeming as if he coming from a different point of view than my own view. In my opinion his review of Japan in 1991was good, however his prediction of a war with the US and Japan in 20 years was not correct.

I do agree on several factors in The Next Decade. I don’t believe that if U. S. stay out of the other country fights than American will be better place and able to relax without fear. He takes a lot of leaps of suggestions for his outcome. I can tell he had studied the economy, history and stock market to help make the prediction. The Next Decade refers to North America, Europe and Africa in many different time frames of war and peace. His conversations about many different issues that spans terrorism, history, relationship with multiple states, military leadership, government jobs and economy.

The reason he gives both sides to help the reader to gain a brief knowledge of the events that have taken place and to give the reader more information to know his predication is correct from his view. I would not call this book The Next Decade I would call this the historical lesson of the world. I think this book was too full of history not to say that I want to minimize or trivialize the past of the world. I learn many things from reading the book. I learn that many of the world tragic will or could lead to one dismay. That as a human being on this planet I must take it upon myself to help.

I do not want a world full of war or threats. I do know that no matter what we do as a nation or world there will always be something or someone whom has an opposite opinion. The book is full of what ifs and conjecture. I don’t believe in everything he has quoted just because he giving some facts from the outside looking in. George Friedman, spend most of the book telling the reader about Africa interactions. When you ask “Did the author overemphasize or over privilege anything? ” my answer is yes, he overemphasize the impact United States had on the Europe role in the many fights and decisions.

I believe the reason for the book is to inform all people of the past events so that no one country or territory or tribe gets so large it destroys what we have built. This reminds me of a history book I read in the 7th grade for extra credit. At the time I love learning new facts about events but this book was informative and boring all in the same breath. As someone you loved to learn about history and has a bloody and complicated history myself. I need to gain knowledge about every aspect of others history where I can.

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